Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#117
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#96
Pace62.9#289
Improvement-3.1#305

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#88
First Shot+1.1#145
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#46
Layup/Dunks+6.7#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#280
Freethrows-1.0#234
Improvement-5.4#347

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#185
First Shot-0.8#189
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#139
Layups/Dunks-2.4#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#101
Freethrows-0.5#200
Improvement+2.3#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round6.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 8   Florida L 59-80 7%     0 - 1 -1.8 +0.6 -3.3
  Nov 16, 2016 81   Texas Arlington W 85-72 46%     1 - 1 +16.6 +19.0 -1.5
  Nov 18, 2016 15   @ Baylor L 72-81 6%     1 - 2 +11.2 +13.7 -3.0
  Nov 20, 2016 44   @ Michigan St. L 77-78 15%     1 - 3 +12.9 +15.2 -2.3
  Nov 23, 2016 312   Binghamton W 69-53 92%     2 - 3 +3.5 -1.7 +6.9
  Nov 25, 2016 226   Long Beach St. W 68-67 OT 81%     3 - 3 -5.6 -14.0 +8.3
  Dec 04, 2016 181   @ Georgia Southern W 85-82 54%     4 - 3 +4.8 +12.3 -7.5
  Dec 09, 2016 178   Siena W 73-69 72%     5 - 3 +0.8 +3.0 -1.9
  Dec 11, 2016 276   Florida International W 82-63 87%     6 - 3 +9.6 +11.3 +0.3
  Dec 13, 2016 181   Georgia Southern L 59-72 72%     6 - 4 -16.3 -11.4 -6.2
  Dec 17, 2016 139   @ La Salle L 80-84 46%     6 - 5 -0.1 +9.1 -9.4
  Dec 20, 2016 101   @ Louisiana Tech W 79-78 35%     7 - 5 +7.8 +13.4 -5.5
  Dec 28, 2016 271   @ Florida Atlantic W 75-62 75%     8 - 5 +8.8 +1.4 +7.5
  Jan 07, 2017 322   @ Stetson W 89-88 85%     9 - 5 1 - 0 -7.3 +9.3 -16.6
  Jan 12, 2017 252   @ Kennesaw St. W 78-75 71%     10 - 5 2 - 0 +0.1 +13.4 -12.8
  Jan 14, 2017 164   @ Lipscomb W 84-80 50%     11 - 5 3 - 0 +6.6 +5.0 +1.3
  Jan 19, 2017 238   South Carolina Upstate L 60-62 83%     11 - 6 3 - 1 -9.3 -13.5 +4.1
  Jan 21, 2017 294   NJIT W 84-71 89%     12 - 6 4 - 1 +2.0 +10.1 -7.5
  Jan 25, 2017 248   @ North Florida W 86-82 70%     13 - 6 5 - 1 +1.3 +15.0 -13.5
  Jan 28, 2017 286   Jacksonville W 78-56 89%     14 - 6 6 - 1 +11.6 -1.5 +13.3
  Jan 30, 2017 248   North Florida W 74-59 84%     15 - 6 7 - 1 +7.2 +3.5 +5.2
  Feb 04, 2017 286   @ Jacksonville W 67-57 78%     16 - 6 8 - 1 +4.7 -4.8 +10.3
  Feb 09, 2017 164   Lipscomb L 60-65 69%     16 - 7 8 - 2 -7.4 -15.4 +7.9
  Feb 11, 2017 252   Kennesaw St. W 75-63 84%     17 - 7 9 - 2 +4.1 +1.8 +3.1
  Feb 16, 2017 294   @ NJIT W 80-73 79%     18 - 7 10 - 2 +1.1 +16.8 -14.6
  Feb 18, 2017 238   @ South Carolina Upstate W 97-89 OT 68%     19 - 7 11 - 2 +5.8 +13.9 -8.7
  Feb 23, 2017 322   Stetson W 80-70 92%     20 - 7 12 - 2 -3.3 +4.0 -6.5
  Feb 27, 2017 322   Stetson W 87-57 92%     21 - 7 +16.7 +9.4 +9.0
  Mar 02, 2017 252   Kennesaw St. W 74-62 84%     22 - 7 +4.1 +2.1 +3.0
  Mar 05, 2017 248   North Florida W 77-61 84%     23 - 7 +8.2 +6.9 +2.9
Projected Record 23.0 - 7.0 12.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.9 0.2 15.6 82.4 1.7
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.9 0.2 15.6 82.4 1.7